砖家说了,房子还会再继续上涨,直到明年底前。

aottawa

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From Finnatial time:
=================
Average Canadian home prices have surged $100,000 since August — the sharpest surge on record.

A new report by the Royal Bank of Canada notes that average home prices in Vancouver jumped a record $143,000 in six months, while Toronto homes have risen $139,000.

“Yet it was markets in the periphery that led the way. Single-family home prices soared $147,000 in Barrie and $145,000 in the Fraser Valley since August. Hamilton-Burlington (up $137,000), Kitchener-Waterloo (up $114,000) and London-St. Thomas (up $104,000) weren’t far behind” RBC economist Robert Hogue wrote in a note Monday.

“Single-detached homes also got a lot more expensive in other B.C. markets, virtually all of southern Ontario, and parts of Quebec and the Atlantic Provinces.”

Latest data from the Canadian Real Estate Association for February shows national home sales jumped 6.6 per cent, compared to January. CREA’s home price index rose 3.3 per cent month-on-month in February — a record-setting rise.

CREA’s non-seasonally adjusted home price was up 17.3 per cent on a year-on-year basis in February — its biggest gain since April 2017 and close to the highest on record.

Lakelands region in Ontario’s cottage country, Tillonsburg District and Woodstock-Ingersoll, saw the biggest year-on-year gains across the country, rising 35 per cent.

The rapid surge in home prices have brought in even more speculators and also triggering the so-called Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) instinct among buyers who were eager to enter the fray before prices run away further from them.

“A recent uptick in longer-term interest rates might also be dialing up the eagerness to act with some seeing the increase as a turning point for interest rates,” Hogue said. “In short, self-reinforcing price dynamics have taken hold in many parts of Canada, and are poised to keep things boiling in the near term.”

But there is little chance of speculators getting their comeuppance any time soon, with markets crashing and those sitting on the sidelines swooping in to pick up bargains.

Hogue expects a soft landing for home prices, as long-term interest rates eventually rise, and prices modestly decline by late 2022.

The supply side is also fuelling the market, with inventory levels at 1.8 months of sales, the lowest ever for February. Canadian home starts also stood at 246,000 in February, compared to 284,000 in January. While home starts remain at historically high levels, they are clearly not enough to calm markets.

Ksenia Bushmeneva, an economist at TD Bank Group, says that historically tight supply of houses on the market will continue to push prices higher in the near-term.

“However, home price growth is expected to moderate in the second half of this year, as prospective sellers become more comfortable listing amid accelerating vaccination pace and buyers shift their attention to more affordable options,” the economist noted in a report published Monday.

Daren King, economist at National Bank of Canada, expects some government regulations coming in to cool the sizzling market.

“With such a strong and widespread level of activity in the real estate market, we do not rule out the possibility that the government will consider macro-prudential measures in the coming months to cool the market,” King said.
 

lindamy

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刚看到贴TH70万,到明年底可能会达到百万,独立屋会不会奔1.5M?
 

aottawa

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刚看到贴TH70万,到明年底可能会达到百万,独立屋会不会奔1.5M?
如果能继续以3.3%月增长率继续,百万不是梦,只是不知政府什么时候介入,至少目前还没迹象。
 

ottawa_tj

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From Finnatial time:
=================
Average Canadian home prices have surged $100,000 since August — the sharpest surge on record.

A new report by the Royal Bank of Canada notes that average home prices in Vancouver jumped a record $143,000 in six months, while Toronto homes have risen $139,000.

“Yet it was markets in the periphery that led the way. Single-family home prices soared $147,000 in Barrie and $145,000 in the Fraser Valley since August. Hamilton-Burlington (up $137,000), Kitchener-Waterloo (up $114,000) and London-St. Thomas (up $104,000) weren’t far behind” RBC economist Robert Hogue wrote in a note Monday.

“Single-detached homes also got a lot more expensive in other B.C. markets, virtually all of southern Ontario, and parts of Quebec and the Atlantic Provinces.”

Latest data from the Canadian Real Estate Association for February shows national home sales jumped 6.6 per cent, compared to January. CREA’s home price index rose 3.3 per cent month-on-month in February — a record-setting rise.

CREA’s non-seasonally adjusted home price was up 17.3 per cent on a year-on-year basis in February — its biggest gain since April 2017 and close to the highest on record.

Lakelands region in Ontario’s cottage country, Tillonsburg District and Woodstock-Ingersoll, saw the biggest year-on-year gains across the country, rising 35 per cent.

The rapid surge in home prices have brought in even more speculators and also triggering the so-called Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) instinct among buyers who were eager to enter the fray before prices run away further from them.

“A recent uptick in longer-term interest rates might also be dialing up the eagerness to act with some seeing the increase as a turning point for interest rates,” Hogue said. “In short, self-reinforcing price dynamics have taken hold in many parts of Canada, and are poised to keep things boiling in the near term.”

But there is little chance of speculators getting their comeuppance any time soon, with markets crashing and those sitting on the sidelines swooping in to pick up bargains.

Hogue expects a soft landing for home prices, as long-term interest rates eventually rise, and prices modestly decline by late 2022.

The supply side is also fuelling the market, with inventory levels at 1.8 months of sales, the lowest ever for February. Canadian home starts also stood at 246,000 in February, compared to 284,000 in January. While home starts remain at historically high levels, they are clearly not enough to calm markets.

Ksenia Bushmeneva, an economist at TD Bank Group, says that historically tight supply of houses on the market will continue to push prices higher in the near-term.

“However, home price growth is expected to moderate in the second half of this year, as prospective sellers become more comfortable listing amid accelerating vaccination pace and buyers shift their attention to more affordable options,” the economist noted in a report published Monday.

Daren King, economist at National Bank of Canada, expects some government regulations coming in to cool the sizzling market.

“With such a strong and widespread level of activity in the real estate market, we do not rule out the possibility that the government will consider macro-prudential measures in the coming months to cool the market,” King said.

通篇文章里说了几个地方的房价涨幅都在10万以上,居然没有渥太华!

渥太华看来在平均涨幅水平(10万)以下,所以还得涨!
 

耶书仑

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耶书仑

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【渥太华房价增长不算高呀!!】

按年比房价增长在 30-35% 之间的有 Barrie, Niagara, Bancroft 及周边, Grey-Bruce Owen Sound, Kawartha Lakes, London & St. Thomas, North Bay, Northumberland Hills, Quinte & District, Simcoe & District 和 Southern Georgian Bay。

按年比房价增长在25-30%之间的有 Hamilton, Guelph, Cambridge, Brantford, Huron Perth, Kitchener-Waterloo, Peterborough 和 Kawarthas and Greater Moncton。

按年比房价增长在20-25% 之间的有Oakville-Milton 和 Ottawa, Montreal涨18.8% , 涨10-15% 之间的有Vancouver Island, the Fraser Valley 和 Okanagan Valley, Winnipeg, 多伦多, Mississauga 和Quebec, 5-10% 之间的有 Greater Vancouver, Victoria, Regina 和Saskatoon。

按年比房价增长3.5% 的是Calgary 和 Edmonton,St. John’s只有 2.6%。

CREA预测,2021年全国平均楼价会上升16.5%,至66.5万元,2022年则会进一步上升2.16%。
 

阿土仔

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涨啊!抢啊!快啊!:D
 

阿土仔

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自从洗手教谭教主出来说“戴口罩没用,洗手就好了”,我再不信这帮杂碎的任何话。
 

茶马盐铁

我想看看自定义头衔到底能有多少字。继续加,看系统什么时候把这个字符串截断。呃,居然还有?那就继续吧。
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这意思就是明年年底前,有房子的,赶紧把房子出手? 要买房的,就坚持到后年?
 

InterMilan7

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【渥太华房价增长不算高呀!!】

按年比房价增长在 30-35% 之间的有 Barrie, Niagara, Bancroft 及周边, Grey-Bruce Owen Sound, Kawartha Lakes, London & St. Thomas, North Bay, Northumberland Hills, Quinte & District, Simcoe & District 和 Southern Georgian Bay。

按年比房价增长在25-30%之间的有 Hamilton, Guelph, Cambridge, Brantford, Huron Perth, Kitchener-Waterloo, Peterborough 和 Kawarthas and Greater Moncton。

按年比房价增长在20-25% 之间的有Oakville-Milton 和 Ottawa, Montreal涨18.8% , 涨10-15% 之间的有Vancouver Island, the Fraser Valley 和 Okanagan Valley, Winnipeg, 多伦多, Mississauga 和Quebec, 5-10% 之间的有 Greater Vancouver, Victoria, Regina 和Saskatoon。

按年比房价增长3.5% 的是Calgary 和 Edmonton,St. John’s只有 2.6%。

CREA预测,2021年全国平均楼价会上升16.5%,至66.5万元,2022年则会进一步上升2.16%。
粗看了一下,渥村是大城市里涨的最猛的
 

yzout

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这意思就是明年年底前,有房子的,赶紧把房子出手? 要买房的,就坚持到后年?
也可以理解为,今年大涨明年小涨,以后不知道,买房的赶快出手?
 
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