Top Liberal is ‘very confident’ in chances of winning a majority

chicago666

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势均力敌,旗鼓相当,谁能胜出还不知道呢,哪来的majority?
 

focus on today

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记得拜登说过的么?我不需要你们的选票,我们组织了历史上最大的fraud system.
 

茶马盐铁

我想看看自定义头衔到底能有多少字。继续加,看系统什么时候把这个字符串截断。呃,居然还有?那就继续吧。
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我听广播说lib在魁北克支持率34%,con的支持率只有29%
 

billwanhua

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民意调查不能反应实际情况,关键是看魁省和安省,人口比率太大了。虽然平均支持率不相上下,但是实际结果自由党majority 也很有可能。
我等等看poll有没有变化,如果自由党majority可能性继续提高,考虑strategy voting投保守党。现在看各党领导都不是好鸟,majority是最坏结果
 

ccc

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民意调查不能反应实际情况,关键是看魁省和安省,人口比率太大了。虽然平均支持率不相上下,但是实际结果自由党majority 也很有可能。
我等等看poll有没有变化,如果自由党majority可能性继续提高,考虑strategy voting投保守党。现在看各党领导都不是好鸟,majority是最坏结果

取绝于你在哪个选区。
 

billwanhua

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取绝于你在哪个选区。
不知道民意调查有没有考虑人口平均。比喻在AB,保守党可能支持率90%,但是90%跟50%irrelevant.而在安省即使落后自由党1%就make big difference
 

gocanoeing

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不知道民意调查有没有考虑人口平均。比喻在AB,保守党可能支持率90%,但是90%跟50%irrelevant.而在安省即使落后自由党1%就make big difference
你考虑得太多了

你只有一票,而你的思考似乎是如果能影响至少10万票才有意义
 

billwanhua

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你考虑得太多了

你只有一票,而你的思考似乎是如果能影响至少10万票才有意义
无脑喷。我根本没有考虑我的票,只不过讨论民意调查能不能反应选举真实结果
 

ccc

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不知道民意调查有没有考虑人口平均。比喻在AB,保守党可能支持率90%,但是90%跟50%irrelevant.而在安省即使落后自由党1%就make big difference

1 Alberta – 34 seats
2 British Columbia – 42 seats
3 Manitoba – 14 seats
4 New Brunswick – 10 seats
5 Newfoundland and Labrador – 7 seats
6 Northwest Territories – 1 seat
7 Nova Scotia – 11 seats
8 Nunavut – 1 seat
9 Ontario – 121 seats
10 Prince Edward Island – 4 seats
11 Quebec – 78 seats
12 Saskatchewan – 14 seats
13 Yukon – 1 seat

Total 338 seats


1631757788609.png
 

gocanoeing

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无脑喷。我根本没有考虑我的票,只不过讨论民意调查能不能反应选举真实结果
并不是单回你那一帖,还是回你的上一贴
“我等等看poll有没有变化,如果自由党majority可能性继续提高,考虑strategy voting投保守党。。。"

觉得你考虑的太多了
 

billwanhua

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并不是单回你那一帖,还是回你的上一贴
“我等等看poll有没有变化,如果自由党majority可能性继续提高,考虑strategy voting投保守党。。。"

觉得你考虑的太多了
每个人投票如果不能改变结果,起码表明自己态度,要按你说的,每个人都放弃投票,反正我没有任何影响
 

gocanoeing

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每个人投票表明自己态度,要按你说的,每个人都放弃投票,反正我没有任何影响
我觉得个人投票的时候没必要考虑太多,自然最好

要是得考虑可能的结果是那些,对应分别要怎么投,poll准确不准确,对不同地区是不是解读不同。。。太累了,尤其是只为了一票
 

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LILLEY: Voting for Bernier will only elect Liberals​


Author of the article:
Brian Lilley

Publishing date:
Sep 16, 2021 • 16 minutes ago • 3 minute read •
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People's Party of Canada (PPC) Leader Maxime Bernier gives a thumbs up during a protest rally outside the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation headquarters in Toronto on Thursday, Sept. 16, 2021.
People's Party of Canada (PPC) Leader Maxime Bernier gives a thumbs up during a protest rally outside the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation headquarters in Toronto on Thursday, Sept. 16, 2021. Photo by CHRIS HELGREN /REUTERS

Article content​


Canadians who are tired of the Trudeau government and wish to bring sanity back to Ottawa have one option come Monday, that’s to vote for Erin O’Toole and the Conservatives. O’Toole has fought Trudeau to a statistical tie as we head to Monday’s vote but that isn’t good enough.

Without an extra boost of support at the ballot box, Trudeau will be Prime Minister once again. Yes, I’m looking at you, PPC voters.

Voting for Maxime Bernier and his People’s Party will only give us Justin Trudeau as PM. Prince Max may as well be crowning Trudeau King.

I know what the response of many will be. Why abandon principle and vote for O’Toole? Many people believe Mad Max is the real deal.
i
I don’t believe either of those statements and I know both men, I’ve covered them for years, watched them closely and spoken with them often.

First, let’s deal with the idea that O’Toole is no different than Trudeau.

O’Toole isn’t looking to build the big, expansionist government that Trudeau is. The Trudeau Liberals are concerned with building a massive bureaucracy in Ottawa that will run your child’s daycare, your prescription drug program, they actually want to hold part of the equity when you buy your home, and, yes, they want to tax the sale of it if you don’t meet their criteria.


Erin O’Toole doesn’t want to do any of those things. He also doesn’t want to be China’s lackey on the world stage.


Under Trudeau, Canada got left out of a new alliance between the U.S., the U.K. and Australia because they’re worried about the current government’s stance on China. Despite Barack Obama endorsing Trudeau once again, he still can’t get anything out of a Democratic White House and isn’t fighting for Keystone, a softwood lumber deal or against Joe Biden’s “Buy America” policies that are hurting our economy.

O’Toole has promised to make Canada a country that is proud to stand on the world stage again and that will take our military obligations seriously.

And Bernier?

It doesn’t matter what he’s promising with his vanity project of a party, he isn’t getting elected, he’s just helping Liberals get elected.

Do you want to know how many times I heard Bernier talk about ending supply management when he was in government for nearly a decade? Never.

I did read a Financial Post article in 2014 where Bernier defended the system.

I’ve talked to several former cabinet colleagues and they never heard him talk about dismantling supply management either. They described a man who was often late for cabinet, inattentive when there, and who cared mostly about his home riding of the Beauce, not the country he was representing at the table.
Two senior staffers who worked closely with him when he was junior minister for agriculture describe Bernier sitting through a long briefing on the issues in the department. At the end of the briefing, the staffers asked Bernier if he had any questions and his sole request was that they hang his portrait in the lobby.

Vanity is something Bernier has in common with Trudeau.

I’ve had a lot of good things to say about the man over the years. He brought some good ideas to the Conservative Party but his decision to bolt and start this vanity project known as the People’s Party was and remains a horrible idea. When conservative-minded people divide the vote, Liberals win.

If you want Justin Trudeau out of office, voting for Bernier and the PPC is the last thing you should do. Vote for the only team that can replace Trudeau, O’Toole and the Conservatives.
 
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