全加平均房价自二月以来已降20%, 比一年前降1.8%。一年的涨幅已经消失了。正在下行中。

GlobeCitizen

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Pace of real estate slump quickens, with sales and average prices down from last year​



Fri, July 15, 2022 at 10:10 a.m.


Average house prices have declined in Canada by about 18 per cent since February, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. (Daniel Acker/Bloomberg - image credit)

Average house prices have declined in Canada by about 18 per cent since February, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association. (Daniel Acker/Bloomberg - image credit)
Canada's housing market continued its slowdown last month, with the average selling price of a home touching $665,850 — a decline of almost 20 per cent since February.
The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), which represents more than 100,000 brokers, agents and salespeople across the country, said Friday that the volume of home sales fell by 5.6 per cent during the month, and is down by almost one-quarter compared to last year.
"Activity continues to slow in the face of rising interest rates and uncertainty," CREA chair Jill Oudil said in a statement.
After rising at a rapid pace for much of the pandemic, higher interest rates slammed the brakes on Canada's housing market this spring.
Average selling prices have declined each month since February 2022, and are down by 1.8 per cent compared to what they were a year ago.
"What goes up must come down, and the Canadian housing market continued to cool in June under the weight of higher interest rates," TD Bank economist Ksenia Bushmeneva said.
Ontario led the way down, as selling prices in the province's suburban markets that rose the most during the pandemic are now coming back to earth.
"Sales and prices are down disproportionately more in Ontario and B.C., which suffered severe affordability deteriorations during the pandemic," Bushmeneva said. "We expect that home prices and sales will move even lower amid further pressure from borrowing costs."
CBC

CBC
She isn't the only one thinking the market still has a way to go before bottoming. Waleed Hamed has been on the sidelines of Canada's housing market for years, waiting for a chance to buy, but he said he could never justify making the leap.
The market in and around Courtice, Ont., where he's living with his parents, has definitely turned in recent months, he said. Yet Hamed is still reluctant to buy, because he thinks further price declines are coming.
"I think we are going to see prices drop for a while," he told CBC News in an interview this week. "I still feel like we are near the very top."
 

肥猫

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现在回到去年夏天的价位了。还有下降空间。
 

GlobeCitizen

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definitely in the decline, but as to how much more it will go down will be anyone's guess. FED has been wrong, most economists have been wrong, sheep are always getting slaughtered.

The point is it's unprecedented, there will be no pattern to follow.
 

m234

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“Waleed Hamed has been on the sidelines of Canada's housing market for years, waiting for a chance to buy, but he said he could never justify making the leap. .... Yet Hamed is still reluctant to buy, because he thinks further price declines are coming.”

想白菜价买房,问题是底在哪里。这位等了几年没买房,估计现在下跌的房价也还是比几年前高。
现在的通胀速度,房价和租金让有些人两难。
 

billwanhua

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“Waleed Hamed has been on the sidelines of Canada's housing market for years, waiting for a chance to buy, but he said he could never justify making the leap. .... Yet Hamed is still reluctant to buy, because he thinks further price declines are coming.”

想白菜价买房,问题是底在哪里。这位等了几年没买房,估计现在下跌的房价也还是比几年前高。
现在的通胀速度,房价和租金让有些人两难。
只有流动性出问题才会出白菜价。
 

GlobeCitizen

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Depending on the inventory of new houses each builder has held. Since there was a bidding war not long ago, my guess is Ottawa builders don't have much of inventory. But who knows what is the best interest for them: sell already built houses with bonuses or hold them for a longer period of time without reducing the prices.

BTW, some US builders have already reduced their new house prices despite its housing market just peaked recently several months later than its Canadian counterpart's.
 

chicago666

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买不起宝马的人,就算打对折,仍然是买不起的。
 

看不惯了

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买不起宝马的人,就算打对折,仍然是买不起的。

那再打个对折还是买不起?然后再打个对折。。。每次对折,总有可以买得起的人吧。
 

ASSISTANT

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看来摔杯前就会有人出手了
 

So what

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新房价格没下来,看能撑多久。
有的地方已经降了,4月份的$959 town middle 到 6月份的$845k+bonus,面积2100多,眼前是多少还没看到
 

阿土仔

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有的地方已经降了,4月份的$959 town middle 到 6月份的$845k+bonus,面积2100多,眼前是多少还没看到
TH 959纯属蒙傻小子!:evil:
 

ert0000

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你唔好搞笑了好唔好。
我们大家一起hold住,不跌50帕誓不干休:monster:

按今天的行情,再跌50帕是不可能了。即使按3月最高点为基数,累计跌50帕也是不可能

按今天的行情, 接下来可能最多再打个88折。这是可能的,按今天的行情到了新的88折,就可以考虑是否摔杯了。
 
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