狼来了: 加拿大著名经济学家预测加拿大房价可能会从年初最高位跌30%

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"Economic Storm Brewing" in Canada; Housing Prices to Decline 30%: David Rosenberg​


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Economy 1 hour ago (Oct 11, 2022 17:01)
1




LYNXNPEB801P4_L.jpg
© Reuters.
By Ketki Saxena
Investing.com -- As per prominent Bay Street economist David Rosenberg, “2023 is going to be a very rough year” for the Canadian economy.
Rosenberg believes “We have an economic storm brewing” as central banks “Including the bank of Canada tightening aggressively into a bear market in equities and into an inverted yield curve.”
In a TV Interview to BNN Bloomberg, Rosenberg also points to the Canadian economy’s “double negative barrelled outlook” as it remains sensitive to domestic monetary policy as well as what happens in the US. Rosenberg cites the negative impact of Canadian exports driven by the slowdown in the US.
Rosenberg believes the currently robust job numbers will be “decelerating markedly over the next several months”, and points to the current deflation in asset prices, including equities and Canadian home prices, as signs of an accelerating downturn.
Rosenberg is also calling for a 30% peak-to-trough downturn in Canadian housing prices, which he believes “is likely to precipitate a slippery slope of declining consumer confidence and spending and prolongs the extent of the economic downturn.”
Apart from the impact the housing price declines will have on consumer confidence, perceived wealth, and spending, he also points out the sizable “impact on the financial sector and banks, considering how big mortgages are on bank balance sheets”
Rosenberg also points to declining commodity prices as another factor that will affect earnings in the last quarter, noting that, “Commodity prices, by and large, have been in a bear market in the last several months and that's going to feed right into corporate profitability.”
Despite easing corporate profits and a 15% decline on the Canadian index so far this year (and Wall Street in a bear market), Rosenberg does not believe this is the bottom for stocks. He notes that Historically the stock market bottoms 16 months after the pause” in Fed rate hikes.
 

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这老兄是永远唱熊派,08至09年时神气了一阵,后来股市房市大漲时还在一直唱空。不过有人揭发他的仓位是多仓。


"Economic Storm Brewing" in Canada; Housing Prices to Decline 30%: David Rosenberg​


investing-new.png
Economy 1 hour ago (Oct 11, 2022 17:01)
1




LYNXNPEB801P4_L.jpg
© Reuters.
By Ketki Saxena
Investing.com -- As per prominent Bay Street economist David Rosenberg, “2023 is going to be a very rough year” for the Canadian economy.
Rosenberg believes “We have an economic storm brewing” as central banks “Including the bank of Canada tightening aggressively into a bear market in equities and into an inverted yield curve.”
In a TV Interview to BNN Bloomberg, Rosenberg also points to the Canadian economy’s “double negative barrelled outlook” as it remains sensitive to domestic monetary policy as well as what happens in the US. Rosenberg cites the negative impact of Canadian exports driven by the slowdown in the US.
Rosenberg believes the currently robust job numbers will be “decelerating markedly over the next several months”, and points to the current deflation in asset prices, including equities and Canadian home prices, as signs of an accelerating downturn.
Rosenberg is also calling for a 30% peak-to-trough downturn in Canadian housing prices, which he believes “is likely to precipitate a slippery slope of declining consumer confidence and spending and prolongs the extent of the economic downturn.”
Apart from the impact the housing price declines will have on consumer confidence, perceived wealth, and spending, he also points out the sizable “impact on the financial sector and banks, considering how big mortgages are on bank balance sheets”
Rosenberg also points to declining commodity prices as another factor that will affect earnings in the last quarter, noting that, “Commodity prices, by and large, have been in a bear market in the last several months and that's going to feed right into corporate profitability.”
Despite easing corporate profits and a 15% decline on the Canadian index so far this year (and Wall Street in a bear market), Rosenberg does not believe this is the bottom for stocks. He notes that Historically the stock market bottoms 16 months after the pause” in Fed rate hikes.
 

冷笑卅声

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30%没有用,地主和无产者都不满意。
建议直接人民公社,彻底土改!
 

春夏秋鼕

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如果付得起房贷,房价跌30%不但不可怕,还能抄底,就怕经济危机,韭菜没钱付房贷,不得不卖或银行拍卖。。。
 

七老八十

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共产主义好啊, 到时候公务员那就是钻石碗,渥太华房价还得看涨...
 

jian dan

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房子多的人巴不得多跌些,刚好抄底。
 

ztbll

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非炒房房主无所谓。
咋会无所谓呢,经济硬着陆,土豆带领所有加拿大人一起摔稀碎。
 
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