渥太华的房价已经跌了,不是涨了

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Housing sales fell 19.7 per cent year-over-year to 787 units, with the average price tag for all residential units sold declining 2.9 per cent to $273,719.

2009年2月的平均价 $273,719。

2008年2月的平均价 $282,571, 比去年同期跌2.9%。

2009年1月($288,105), 比上月跌5%。

峰值2008年六月是 $298,484, 比六月份跌8.3%。


在此,我还要奉劝大家一句,“下落的利剑不能接”。
当一件商品在降价的时候,特别具有诱惑力。比如某某股票,当它从100多跌到20-30的时候,多少人携全部资产买了进去,还有人举债跳了进去。结果是谈笑间灰飞烟灭。我也犯过无数次这样的错误。所以,应该等利剑落地以后再捡起来。
 

yycivang

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在此,我还要奉劝大家一句,“下落的利剑不能接”。
当一件商品在降价的时候,特别具有诱惑力。比如某某股票,当它从100多跌到20-30的时候,多少人携全部资产买了进去,还有人举债跳了进去。结果是谈笑间灰飞烟灭。我也犯过无数次这样的错误。所以,应该等利剑落地以后再捡起来。
“下落的利剑不能接”很有道理. Bank of America & Citi 就是一很好说明.
 

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换一种写法,让大家看的更清楚。

2009年2月的房价, 比最高时(2008年六月份)已跌去8.3%。

年平均跌12.4%.

到五六月的时候,请你不要因看到“比去年同期跌12%”而吓一跳。
 

坐在墙上等红杏

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所在地
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Housing sales fell 19.7 per cent year-over-year to 787 units, with the average price tag for all residential units sold declining 2.9 per cent to $273,719.

2009年2月的平均价 $273,719。

2008年2月的平均价 $282,571, 比去年同期跌2.9%。

2009年1月($288,105), 比上月跌5%。

峰值2008年六月是 $298,484, 比六月份跌8.3%。


在此,我还要奉劝大家一句,“下落的利剑不能接”。
当一件商品在降价的时候,特别具有诱惑力。比如某某股票,当它从100多跌到20-30的时候,多少人携全部资产买了进去,还有人举债跳了进去。结果是谈笑间灰飞烟灭。我也犯过无数次这样的错误。所以,应该等利剑落地以后再捡起来。



说的好,我们都在等抄底呢,现在,房屋成交量这么低,不少业主都把目光转向房屋出租了。
 

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换一种写法,让大家看的更清楚。

2009年2月的房价, 比最高时(2008年六月份)已跌去8.3%。

年平均跌12.4%.
yycivang 前天 (2009. 03. 07) 在“渥村的房价会跌多少?”那里刚发的帖子和链接,说渥村 09 年 2 月的房价比一年前下降 2.9%。到你这儿怎么变成“年平均跌 12.4%”了呢?不是忽悠人吧?

Ottawa housing prices off 2.9 per cent from year ago
 

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yycivang 前天 (2009. 03. 07) 在“渥村的房价会跌多少?”那里刚发的帖子和链接,说渥村 09 年 2 月的房价比一年前下降 2.9%。到你这儿怎么变成“年平均跌 12.4%”了呢?不是忽悠人吧?

Ottawa housing prices off 2.9 per cent from year ago

The prices falls 8.3% in 8 months, so the falling rate is 12.4% for 12 months (a year).
I mentioned this in the first column that there can be totally different types of expression for a same number. Also this is the reason why I opened the discussion.
You will definitely see the "12% dropping from year ago" if they are still keeping using this expression.
 

Hainiu

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The prices falls 8.3% in 8 months, so the falling rate is 12.4% for 12 months (a year).
I mentioned this in the first column that there can be totally different types of expression for a same number. Also this is the reason why I opened the discussion.
You will definitely see the "12% dropping from year ago" if they are still keeping using this expression.
差一点就被你的“年平均下跌 12.4%”忽悠了。这样算出来的数字怎么能叫“年平均”?还是先把什么叫“年平均“搞清楚了再说吧。
 

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差一点就被你的“年平均下跌 12.4%”忽悠了。这样算出来的数字怎么能叫“年平均”?还是先把什么叫“年平均“搞清楚了再说吧。

你可以掩耳盗铃,也可以一叶障目,不见泰山。
我知道你喜欢听“洋大人”的,但“洋大人”也是如此说的一说。
 

Hainiu

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你可以掩耳盗铃,也可以一叶障目,不见泰山。
我知道你喜欢听“洋大人”的,但“洋大人”也是如此说的一说。
不好意思,你一样也没说对。本人从来就没有喜欢或不喜欢听“洋大人”的,也不想和谁吵架,只是不能认同这样的“年平均”而已。扣再多的帽子也没用。
 

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Ottawa housing starts fall 57 per cent

Ottawa housing starts fall 57 per cent


February decline to 137 units compares with 317 last year

By Bert Hill, The Ottawa Citizen; with files from The Financial PostMarch 10, 2009

Ottawa house construction starts tumbled 57 per cent in February as the Canadian real estate market continued to weaken amid a deepening economic downturn and high unemployment.
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said that work started on just 137 units, compared with 317 units a year earlier.
The single biggest decline was in apartment units, where there was no construction starts during February compared with 56 units a year earlier.
Construction starts fell 59 per cent on single-family houses and 36 per cent on row-housing units.
So far this year, housing starts are down 33 per cent to 819 units compared with the first two months of 2008.
"Although the pace of residential construction activity during February was low, it is consistent with CMHC's forecast for starts going forward," said analyst Sandra Pere Torres. "Housing construction will slow this year, but not match the downturn experienced in the early 1990s."
In Gatineau, however, construction more than doubled to 190 units in February as multiple-unit starts almost tripled and single-housing starts rose 40 per cent. However, for the first two months of the year, starts are up a more modest 15 per cent to 384 units.
Across Canada, meanwhile, housing starts fell a more-than-expected 12 per cent last month.
CMHC said there were 134,600 housing starts in February, down from 153,500 units in January, on a seasonally adjusted annual basis.
Most economists had expected housing starts to total 145,000 in February.
"Increased listings and reduced sales in the existing home market continue to impact the new home market," said CMHC chief economist Bob Dugan.
"The decrease in February housing starts is partly attributable to the volatile multiple starts segment," he said. "In any given month and given its relative importance, the volatility of the multiple starts segment can exaggerate monthly movements up or down in the rate of housing starts."
Urban construction fell 14.9 per cent to 107,800 units in February, with multiple starts falling 17.5 per cent to 63,300 and single-unit activity dropping 11 per cent to 44,500.
The decline in urban construction was felt in all regions of Canada, except Atlantic Canada, where starts rose by 10.8 per cent, CMHC said. The biggest declines were in Quebec, down 19.6 per cent, Ontario, off 14.4 per cent, the Prairies, 19.4 per cent lower, and British Columbia, down 12.8 per cent.
Rural starts in February were unchanged from the previous month at 26,800 units.
Home construction "is slowing to more sustainable levels," CMHC said. "These decreases, however, should be viewed in the context that housing starts have been exceptionally strong over the past seven years, exceeding 200,000 units per year."
Millan Mulraine, economics strategist at TD Securities, said the "recent slew of housing-sector reports have all been pointing to a continued correction in the Canadian housing market, and this report suggests that the pace of adjustment is accelerating, which means that the housing sector may remain a key source of drag to Canadian economic activity.
"On the bright side, it is a clear indication that Canadian builders are retrenching their construction activity in the face of waning housing demand, and this may mean that the buildup of unwanted inventory may not become such a source of drag on home prices as has been the case in the U.S.," he said.



Sales of new Ottawa homes plunge 75% in January
Sales of new Ottawa homes plunge 75% in January

By Bert Hill, The Ottawa Citizen; With files from Financial PostFebruary 14, 2009


引用:
作者: FlyingEagle
根据CREA报告, 和2001年比较, 房价大涨, 和2007年12月比较, 房价轻微下调1.2%, 从长远(例如, 5年期)来看, 房价还是会涨上去.

加拿大房地产情况继续恶化

住房产业今年1月份下降11%, 住房开工比去年下降40%.

盖了100套,计划卖出100套, 供求平衡.现在卖了89套(下降11%,), 然后就只盖60套(下降40%), 如果市场依然需求89套, 就会供不应求. 看来开发商利用减产来提高房价.



不幸被XX同志言中。

看来开发商们接着还要减员,再则减价,三则减(同关)门。
 

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不好意思,你一样也没说对。本人从来就没有喜欢或不喜欢听“洋大人”的,也不想和谁吵架,只是不能认同这样的“年平均”而已。扣再多的帽子也没用。
我还以为你只相信英文题目的文章呢。对不起,我错了。
写成"年预计跌幅“怎样?
很快(还有三五个月)你就会认同这种说法。现在加西的人都已认同。

你现在还在经济危机的第一阶段,否认(即不认同)阶段。总共有五个阶段,看来还有很长的路要走啊。
我希望大家早点达到“绝望”的阶段,那才孕育着真正的希望。
 

yycivang

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一室加一个den的condo要卖45万,渥太华的房价有点疯了:
Grape Vine Home Marketing Consultants
Best of Luck,

At the another closer look, according to the listing, it is two bedrooms converted to one, 1192 sq ft, annual property tax of $5600, property assessment of ~ $480,000, and he wants to sell for $453,000, selling at 5.6% below assessment value.
 

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Best of Luck,

At the another closer look, according to the listing, it is two bedrooms converted to one, 1192 sq ft, annual property tax of $5600, property assessment of ~ $480,000, and he wants to sell for $453,000, selling at 5.6% below assessment value.
这个相当于曼哈顿的房价了。既不是downtown,又不紧靠河,降到一半我都嫌贵。

前年在 1830 Prince of Wales, 有个3室2卫的condo卖17万,没买,后悔啊!

大家说马上要发生通货膨胀,房价要大跌是很难的了。
 
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